Weather Forecast Bulletins
Coastal wind: Is expected to flow from East at a speed of 20km/hr for the Southern Coast and from South East at a speed of 30km/hr for the Northern Coast. State of the Sea: Is expected to be Slight to Modarate.
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EXPECTED WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD No. 29 (11th– 20th OCTOBER), 2025
Lake Victoria Basin (Kagera, Geita, Shinyanga, Mwanza, Simiyu and Mara regions):
Periods of Thundershowers are expected over few areas.
Northeastern highlands (Arusha, Manyara and Kilimanjaro regions): Mainly dry condition is expected.
Northern coast (Tanga, Northern part of Morogoro, Pwani and Dar es Salaam regions together with isles of Unguja and Pemba): Periods of rainshowers are expected over few areas.
Western regions (Kigoma, Katavi and Tabora regions): Mainly dry condition is expected.
Central areas (Dodoma and Singida regions): Dry condition is expected.
Southwestern highlands (Rukwa, Songwe, Mbeya, Njombe and Iringa regions): Dry condition is expected.
Southern Coast (Mtwara and Lindi regions): Periods of light rainshowers are expected over few areas.
Southern region (Ruvuma and Southern part of Morogoro regions): Mainly dry condition is expected.
Issued by:
TANZANIA METEOROLOGICAL AUTHORITY
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Highlights of weather summary for September, 2025 and outlook for October, 2025:
This statement summarizes the current state of climate systems and associated weather observed during the month of September, 2025 and subsequently the outlook for the climate system and rainfall distribution for the month of October, 2025 over the country.
I.In September 2025, dry conditions prevailed over most areas of the country, accompanied by cool temperatures in a few areas during the night. However, occasional periods of light to moderate rainfall were observed in some areas along the coastal belt, northeastern highlands and Lake Victoria basin.
II.In October 2025, the Vuli rains are expected to commence in some areas under the bimodal rainfall regime. However, normal to below-normal rainfall is anticipated in most of these areas.
III.An increase in temperatures is anticipated in some areas during October, 2025.
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Highlights for Msimu rains (November, 2025 – April, 2026)
This statement highlights the evolution of climate systems and outlook for Msimu rains, over the unimodal areas (western, central, southwestern highlands, southern, southern coast, and southern part of Morogoro region) for the months of November, 2025 to April, 2026. Advisories and early warnings have been provided to various weather sensitive sectors such as agriculture and food security, livestock and fisheries, natural resources, wildlife and tourism, energy and water, transport (land – roads and railway, marine and aviation), local authorities, health, private and disaster management. The Outlook for Msimu rains is as follows:
a) Outlook for Msimu rains over Unimodal areas:
i Below Normal to Normal rains are expected over southern Kigoma, Tabora, Katavi, Singida and Dodoma regions. However, Normal to Below Normal rains are expected over Njombe, Iringa, Mbeya, Songwe, Rukwa, Ruvuma, Mtwara and Lindi regions together with the southern part of Morogoro region. The season is likely to be characterized by prolonged dry spells and poor distribution of rainfall over most areas.
ii Rains are expected to commence during the third and fourth week of October, 2025 over Tabora, Katavi and Kigoma regions and spreading to Rukwa, Songwe, Mbeya, Iringa, Njombe regions and southern part of Morogoro region during the second and third week of November, 2025. The rains are expected to cease during the fourth week of April and first week of May, 2026 over most areas.
iii The second half of the season (February-April, 2026) is expected to be relatively wetter than the first half (November, 2025- January, 2026).
b) Expected Impacts
(i) The anticipated Below Normal rains in most areas may result into soil moisture stress, which could affect crop growth and development and reduce yields for rain-fed crops.
(ii) Decrease in reservoir water levels and river flow is likely, which could reduce water availability for various uses.
(iii) The availability of water and pasture for livestock is expected to be affected.
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Dar es Salaam |
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Date | Day Condition | Maximum Temperature | Minimum Temperature | Sun Rise | Sun Set | ||
20/10/2025 |
![]() Sunny Periods |
31°C | 21°C | 06:05 | 18:15 | ||
20/10/2025 |
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31°C | 21°C | 06:05 | 18:15 | ||
21/10/2025 |
![]() Sunny Periods |
31°C | 21°C | 05:59 | 18:15 | ||
20/10/2025 |
![]() Sunny Periods |
30°C | 21°C | 06:05 | 18:15 | ||
21/10/2025 |
![]() Sunny Periods |
31°C | 21°C | 05:59 | 18:15 |